91ɫƬ

Tackling population growth is key to fighting climate change

With the global population set to reach 8 billion people next week, Robin Maynard argues that investment in family planning, gender equality and education would have a profound positive impact on the planet

AS THE world desperately looks to COP27 for solutions to the climate crisis, on 15 November – in the very midst of the conference – the UN will symbolically mark the point when our global population reaches 8 billion people. The timing may be a coincidence, but the two are undeniably connected.

Earlier this year, a key report from the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change unequivocally “Globally, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and population growth remained the strongest drivers of CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion in the last decade.” Unsurprisingly, then, a major study into climate solutions called Project Drawdown “family planning and education” – two critical factors in lowering fertility rates and population growth – as the in limiting warming to 2°C by 2100, and the seventh most effective in limiting warming to 1.5°C, with potential CO2 savings of 68.9 gigatonnes by 2050.

This shouldn’t be a surprise. Every climate change mitigation measure we employ will bring greater gains when contending with the emissions of fewer people overall. Population action is one essential pathway, but isn’t alone.

The average UK person produces the CO2 of someone living in Benin. The world’s richest 1 per cent of people double the emissions of the 50 per cent of the world’s citizens who fall into the lowest income level – with the top 10 per cent producing around half of total emissions. A closer perspective is required, however. Grotesque as the inequity is, the top 1 per cent only contribute , and those in the top 10 per cent aren’t all plutocrats, but those earning more than (£32,400). Cutting overconsumption and tackling inequality is morally and environmentally essential – but it isn’t enough.

Population growth traps people in poverty. In some of the world’s lowest-income countries, population growth has seen the , despite a reduction in the proportion of those affected. Investing in reproductive health and ensuring greater access to family planning will help combat climate change and both tackle inequalities and address the population growth that contributes to inequality.

So why is population so rarely discussed in this context? There have been some hideous examples of governments using it as a proxy for state suppression and control, but, , most population policies haven’t been coercive. 91ɫƬators default to those negative past policies, ignoring or unaware of the many examples -from Thailand to Costa Rica – of policies such as investment in family planning that prioritised human rights and women’s choice, while also slowing population growth.

This really matters because the numbers involved are staggering. A seemingly small change, such as people on average having “half a child” fewer, would have a profound, positive impact on people and planet.

While the is for an additional 2.4 billion people by 2100, it also recognises the possibility of a population lower than today’s by the end of the century (see page 14). Investment in family planning, gender equality and education fundamentally improves people’s lives, particularly those of women and girls, and helps bring all the advantages of ending and reversing population growth. Tackling climate change demands some tough choices – so why wouldn’t we also make the easy decisions that support positive solutions?

When the 8 billionth person is born on 15 November, let’s invest in measures that will give them the best chance of a long and decent life on a healthy planet.

Robin Maynard is executive director at Population Matters, a writer and a campaigner

Topics: Climate change / Environment / Population