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Monarch butterfly in sudden trouble

The number of butterflies flying to a special reserve in Mexico is just one-tenth that of eight years ago – logging and bad weather could be to blame

It is so abundant that biologists measure its population in terms of the area it covers, rather than numbers of individuals. But the iconic monarch butterfly is in sudden trouble. Numbers overwintering in Mexico are at their lowest since records began in the 1970s.

Every winter, monarchs head from North America to balmier climes, where they form massive congregations. This winter, though, numbers were a tenth of their 1996-97 peak (see Graph).

Monarch's decline

Mexico has set aside an area of land as a butterfly reserve. But according to research by WWF Mexico’s Eduardo Ramirez – who is the reserve’s director – and Eduardo Rendon, illegal logging in the reserve is probably the gravest threat. By clearing trees from its lower slopes, loggers push butterflies to higher forest, where they die of cold.

Also suspected are bad weather, which has hampered breeding, and previous use of weedkillers that destroy milkweed plants, on which the monarchs lay eggs. “We are playing butterfly roulette,” the report warns.